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A $46 billion bad-loan mirage hints at flaw in U.S. lender guideline

An early-warning system for bad loans from banks is using impact in 2010. Beware untrue alarms.

U.S. banking institutions tend to be needs to reserve terms for possible loan losings under a brand new system regulators created eight years back to avoid the sort of catastrophic surprise that caught the business and regulators off shield throughout the crisis that is financial. The theory is always to force finance companies to improve reserves centered on designs that aspect in the economy, as opposed to watch for loan re re re payments to end.

But great swings in estimated loan losings in the past few years reveal the way the system even offers the possibility to raise problems prematurely or also to even deliver signals that are mixed. Читати далі…